1. Free account. Every new account starts with a $100 balance for the open board. Payouts from the free account can be requested only once its balance reaches $50,000. Use Reset to start over.
2. Funded accounts. $25 for a $25,000 funded account and $50 for a $50,000 funded account. Buy by messaging @Vaultlinebets on Telegram. When a funded account is active, the header and bet slip show its balance.
3. Market price. Take the moneyline from the sportsbook in ESPN's feed, convert to implied probability and remove the vig.
4. Simple model. Each team's win rate (60% season, 40% home/road split), regressed toward .500, combined with log5, plus a league home-field bump.
5. Blend. Final probability = market × (1 − w) + model × w, with w capped at 25%. The market is trusted most.
6. Pick. The side whose blended probability beats the market most. Confidence is High, Medium or Low from edge and EV. Pick of the Day is the highest-EV non-Low pick between −250 and +250.
7. Grading. After the game, each pick is graded W/L/Push from the ESPN final score. Nothing is backfilled.

A simple statistical model, not inside information. It ignores injuries, lineups and weather. Expect it to lose often.